Texas Caucus Results Thread (Obama's Winning Texas, Folks!)

I'm sure I'm not the only one hanging on the Texas Democratic Party's caucus results website, waiting for the autorefresh that brings new numbers.

A new set of information seems to be rolling in every half-hour or so; I am (as, I imagine, are several other Kossacks) trying to keep tabs on it.

Final Update (here):

On a new day, I've started a new thread to monitor the results. C'mon along!

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Update 1:

We're currently at 39.88% of precincts reporting, and Obama is leading Clinton 55.95%-44.05%, still on pace for seven net delegates (37-30). However, he is within a hair's breadth of picking up two more net delegates: that will require him to have only 55.97% of the district delegates, or a 0.02% larger share than he has on current returns. At the moment, it would only take 22 more votes (actually district delegates) to flip the net delegate number.

I expect that, by the next update, Obama will be on pace to pick up nine net delegates.

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On my spreadsheet, with 39.41% of precincts reporting, Obama is currently on pace to win seven net delegates (37-30) out of the Texas caucus. Adding in my delegate calculations (which match the Texas Secretary of State's) for the primary, this would give Obama three net delegates for Texas, all told--a win!

The other news of the moment is that, with 55.86% of the total estimated delegate count, Obama is currently right on the cusp (only 0.11% under!) of pushing his delegate haul for the caucus out to +9. So if he can juice up his numbers by just a tiny proportion for the 60% of returns remaining, he'll net two more delegates. This, I think, makes for exciting spectating....

(P.S.: I'm aware that, as more than one Texas Kossack has posted, the district-delegate projections now going up on the TDP website are preliminary and subject to change as subsequent rounds of the state convention play out. The same is true in many states that have conducted multi-level caucuses. Still, these preliminary numbers seem to me awfully important--for momentum purposes if nothing else.)